Impact of net atrioventricular compliance on clinical outcome in mitral stenosis.

BACKGROUND Net atrioventricular compliance (Cn) has been reported to be an important determinant of pulmonary hypertension in mitral stenosis (MS). We hypothesized that it may be useful in assessing prognosis because Cn reflects hemodynamic consequences of MS. To date, limited data with an assumed Cn cutoff have indicated the need for larger prospective studies. This prospective study was designed to determine the impact of Cn on clinical outcome and its contribution to pulmonary pressure in MS. In addition, we aimed to identify a cutoff value of Cn for outcome prediction in this setting. METHODS AND RESULTS A total of 128 patients with rheumatic MS without other significant valve disease were prospectively enrolled. Comprehensive echocardiography was performed and Doppler-derived Cn estimated using a previously validated equation. The end point was either mitral valve intervention or death. Cn was an important predictor of pulmonary pressure, regardless of classic measures of MS severity. During a median follow-up of 22 months, the end point was reached in 45 patients (35%). Baseline Cn predicted outcome, adding prognostic information beyond that provided by mitral valve area and functional status. Cn ≤4 mL/mm Hg best predicted unfavorable outcome in derivation and validation sets. A subgroup analysis including only initially asymptomatic patients with moderate to severe MS without initial indication for intervention (40.6% of total) demonstrated that baseline Cn predicted subsequent adverse outcome even after adjustment for classic measures of hemodynamic MS severity (hazard ratio, 0.33; 95% confidence interval, 0.14-0.79; P=0.013). CONCLUSIONS Cn contributes to pulmonary hypertension beyond stenosis severity itself. In a wide spectrum of MS severity, Cn is a powerful predictor of adverse outcome, adding prognostic value to clinical data and mitral valve area. Importantly, baseline Cn predicts a progressive course with subsequent need for intervention in initially asymptomatic patients. Cn assessment therefore has potential value for clinical risk stratification and monitoring in MS patients.